First published on Timber Industry News website
The home-building and renovation boom could keep wood demand strong for the next decade, the biggest US lumber producer said recently.
In anticipation, Weyerhaeuser Co. is eyeing forests and sawmills so it can expand output of boards and planks, CEO Devin Stockfish told the Nareit REITweek 2021 Investor Conference last week. The Seattle-based company already owns 11 million acres of American timberland.
“We’re going to continue to look for timberland opportunities,” Stockfish said. “Every deal that comes to market, we’re looking at, so I would expect us to continue to be active on that front.
Weyerhaeuser stock has climbed 45% in the past year and reached an all-time high early last month. The shares were up 0.3% to USD35.79 at 1:55 p.m. in New York.
Wood prices soared above USD1000 per 1000 board feet for the first time ever earlier this year before touching a record high in May on a surprise surge in residential construction amid pandemic lockdowns and rock-bottom borrowing costs.
Some potential home buyers are getting priced out of the market, but for lumber producers, the rally has spurred all-time high profits. Although Stockfish foresees years of strong demand, he sees the recent price frenzy as unsustainable.
“I don’t think USD1000 lumber prices are the new normal,” Stockfish said. “With that being said, when you think about the amount of housing we’re going to have to build in the US over the next three, five, 10 years, that’s just a significant amount of demand for wood products.”
US lumber futures for July delivery have tumbled from last month’s record, extending losses Tuesday to a seven-week low at USD1160.10 as do-it-yourself renovation demand shows signs of weakening and some builders wait for lower prices.
That’s down 33% from the May 10 peak above USD1700. Some prices on the cash market, where most builders buy lumber for immediate delivery, have also started to drop after sawmills ramped up production.
Stockfish delivered his bullish outlook on the same day that rival Canfor Corp. said it will invest roughly USD160-million in a new sawmill in Louisiana and canceled a previously announced project in Georgia. The world’s biggest lumber producer, West Fraser Timber Co., is expanding capacity at five US mills while Interfor Corp. plans to buy four Georgia-Pacific LLC sawmills.